Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 351.608665 398.464891 450.459895 512.650309 585.291037 667.788691 769.044743
2025-10-05 290.239452 354.017199 431.298581 532.754531 663.793060 829.192603 1056.737658
2025-10-12 258.894508 331.775209 425.532141 556.875429 739.168861 987.850900 1360.924883
2025-10-19 229.878359 305.993652 408.564231 559.820114 782.274388 1105.770572 1627.864022
2025-10-26 202.583129 277.974930 383.441203 545.628889 795.916220 1180.078973 1840.425250
2025-11-02 182.081789 256.544465 364.183337 535.992534 812.857600 1259.303214 2073.096451
2025-11-09 171.372721 247.792169 361.884140 550.874831 869.021261 1408.603292 2454.236855
2025-11-16 158.333540 233.990674 350.076784 548.576544 895.618382 1510.912609 2770.351376
2025-11-23 146.148545 220.211462 336.659640 541.558119 912.343411 1597.179161 3072.717976
2025-11-30 137.476823 211.102932 329.668769 544.282974 946.251851 1720.035178 3477.407593
2025-12-07 127.459920 198.889678 316.288644 534.020547 954.183639 1792.862471 3789.082644
2025-12-14 119.705176 189.745342 307.188294 530.302470 973.863306 1892.217890 4185.487523
2025-12-21 109.281132 175.463268 288.277341 506.902446 952.461345 1903.788559 4378.638180
2025-12-28 106.342843 173.818987 291.504512 526.024368 1021.067470 2125.645678 5175.210781
2026-01-04 104.247698 173.428024 296.863892 549.818660 1103.109377 2394.696794 6189.037990
2026-01-11 99.506727 167.898465 292.182807 552.717390 1139.420702 2561.216507 6962.477394
2026-01-18 93.081310 158.819225 280.025625 538.739058 1135.114679 2624.848284 7439.176829
2026-01-25 87.753602 151.400754 270.462564 529.246626 1140.034772 2713.666106 8030.198478
2026-02-01 85.585889 149.746838 271.991183 543.906446 1205.459762 2979.689033 9335.720169
2026-02-08 81.745805 144.626648 266.191444 541.642590 1228.398294 3131.458353 10287.991217
2026-02-15 77.723706 138.887395 258.691984 534.729142 1238.435943 3247.905274 11153.745550
2026-02-22 74.934299 135.376953 255.491133 537.413270 1274.190784 3450.425390 12465.659076
2026-03-01 71.145467 129.645055 247.230950 527.304033 1273.909677 3540.062679 13331.967646